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16/1/2022 15:00 |
 SCU Torreense1.70 |
X 3.55 |
UD Santarem  4.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for SCU Torreense x UD Santarem:
๐ฎ SCU Torreense wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SCU Torreense, you can win up to $847.50!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for SCU Torreense x UD Santarem
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Analysis from SCU Torreense x UD Santarem for the Portugal Liga 3 – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ SCU Torreense X UD Santarem – Portugal Liga 3 |
When the best bet on SCU Torreense x UD Santarem is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SCU Torreense x UD Santarem
Is it a good idea to bet on SCU Torreense?
๐ต SCU Torreense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $437.85;
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$67.85.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$77.00.
Should you bet on UD Santarem?
๐ด UD Santarem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $390.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$490.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match SCU Torreense x UD Santarem
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SCU Torreense
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SCU Torreense x UD Santarem
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SCU Torreense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SCU Torreense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 SCU Torreense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SCU Torreense x UD Santarem
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
