📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SD Deusto x Amurrio
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Analysis from SD Deusto x Amurrio for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 19 of January
🏟️ SD Deusto X Amurrio – Spain Tercera Group 4
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SD Deusto and Amurrio.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289909 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Deusto x Amurrio
Is it worth betting on SD Deusto?
🔵 SD Deusto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $353.80;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$356.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $774.00;
- And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$204.00.
Is betting on Amurrio worth it?
🔴 Amurrio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $599.20;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match SD Deusto x Amurrio
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SD Deusto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Deusto x Amurrio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SD Deusto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SD Deusto.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Amurrio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Deusto x Amurrio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves