📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Spal x Pisa
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Analysis from Spal x Pisa for the Italy Serie B – 22 of January
🏟️ Spal X Pisa – Italy Serie B
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Spal and Pisa.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Spal x Pisa
Is it worth betting on Spal?
🔵 Spal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $573.50
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$86.50.
Is betting on Pisa worth it?
🔴 Pisa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x Pisa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x Pisa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Spal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Spal.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x Pisa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves