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Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC Betting tips for November 22 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC, Wednesday, 22/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2023
01:30
Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito
1.94
X
3.20
Herrera FC Herrera FC
3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Miguelito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $209.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Herrera FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sporting San Miguelito did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Herrera FC, Sporting San Miguelito scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC, with Sporting San Miguelito as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Herrera FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Sporting San Miguelito conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Herrera FC.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sporting San Miguelito has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Herrera FC playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Herrera FC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC:

Analysis from Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC for the Panama LPF – 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sporting San Miguelito X Herrera FC – Panama LPF
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2023 – 01:30
๐Ÿ”ต Sporting San Miguelito – Winning probability: 44.35% | Fair line: 2.25
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.39% | Fair line: 2.91
๐Ÿ”ด Herrera FC – Winning probability: 21.26% | Fair line: 4.7
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting San Miguelito
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

Is betting on Sporting San Miguelito worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sporting San Miguelito: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $413.60;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$146.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $748.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$88.00.

Is it worth betting on Herrera FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Herrera FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting San Miguelito
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sporting San Miguelito, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sporting San Miguelito.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves