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15/1/2022 12:30 |
 St Pauli1.42 |
X 4.64 |
Erzgebirge Aue  6.46 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue:
๐ฎ St Pauli wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Pauli, you can win up to $710.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue for the Germany Bundesliga II – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ St Pauli X Erzgebirge Aue – Germany Bundesliga II |
When the best bet on St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue
Is betting on St Pauli worth it?
๐ต St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $344.40
- And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$164.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $436.80
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$443.20.
Is it worth betting on Erzgebirge Aue?
๐ด Erzgebirge Aue: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $327.60;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$612.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 St Pauli
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 St Pauli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 St Pauli. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Erzgebirge Aue
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
