📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Stoke x Fulham
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Analysis from Stoke x Fulham for the England Championship – 22 of January
🏟️ Stoke X Fulham – England Championship
When the best bet on Stoke x Fulham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Stoke x Fulham
Is betting on Stoke worth it?
🔵 Stoke: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $452.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$348.00.
Should you bet on Fulham?
🔴 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $918.00;
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$598.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stoke x Fulham
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stoke
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stoke x Fulham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Stoke and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Stoke.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Fulham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stoke x Fulham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves