📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town
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Analysis from Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town for the England EFL Trophy – 22 of January
🏟️ Sutton Utd X Harrogate Town – England EFL Trophy
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289954 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town
Is it worth betting on Sutton Utd?
🔵 Sutton Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $507.40
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$62.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $782.00
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.00.
Is betting on Harrogate Town worth it?
🔴 Harrogate Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $418.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sutton Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sutton Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sutton Utd. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sutton Utd x Harrogate Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves