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17/1/2022 19:00 |
 Swansea U233.04 |
X 3.60 |
Bristol City U23  1.88 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23:
๐ฎ Bristol City U23 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bristol City U23, you can win up to $940.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23:
Analysis from Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23 for the England U23 Development League – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ Swansea U23 X Bristol City U23 – England U23 Development League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Swansea U23 and Bristol City U23.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23
Is it worth betting on Swansea U23?
๐ต Swansea U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $387.60;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$422.40.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$280.00.
Should you bet on Bristol City U23?
๐ด Bristol City U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $536.80;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$146.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Swansea U23
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Swansea U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Swansea U23.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bristol City U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Swansea U23 x Bristol City U23
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Monday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
