📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
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Analysis from Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United for the Jamaica Premier League – 16 of January
🏟️ Tivoli Gardens X Portmore United – Jamaica Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
Is it a good idea to bet on Tivoli Gardens?
🔵 Tivoli Gardens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is betting on Portmore United worth it?
🔴 Portmore United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tivoli Gardens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tivoli Gardens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tivoli Gardens.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves