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17/1/2022 20:15 |
 Tivoli Gardens2.20 |
X 3.07 |
Portmore United  3.14 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
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Analysis from Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United for the Jamaica Premier League – 17 of January
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ποΈ Tivoli Gardens X Portmore United – Jamaica Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tivoli Gardens and Portmore United.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288856 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
Is it worth betting on Tivoli Gardens?
π΅ Tivoli Gardens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $516.00;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$54.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $621.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$79.00.
Is betting on Portmore United worth it?
π΄ Portmore United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $557.44;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$182.56.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tivoli Gardens
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Tivoli Gardens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tivoli Gardens.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Tivoli Gardens.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tivoli Gardens x Portmore United
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
