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16/1/2022 14:00 |
 Trofense2.70 |
X 3.20 |
FC Porto B  2.37 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Trofense x FC Porto B:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Trofense x FC Porto B
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Trofense x FC Porto B?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Trofense x FC Porto B:
Analysis from Trofense x FC Porto B for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Trofense X FC Porto B – Portugal Segunda Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Trofense x FC Porto B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Trofense x FC Porto B
Is it a good idea to bet on Trofense?
๐ต Trofense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $374.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$406.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $836.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$216.00.
Should you bet on FC Porto B?
๐ด FC Porto B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 400 times – profiting $548.80;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$51.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Trofense x FC Porto B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Trofense
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trofense x FC Porto B
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Trofense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Trofense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Porto B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trofense x FC Porto B
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
