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23/1/2022 10:00 |
 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor2.23 |
X 2.95 |
Derince Spor A.S.  3.15 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.
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Analysis from Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S. for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 23 of January
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๐๏ธ Turk Metal Kirikkalespor X Derince Spor A.S. – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S. right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.
Should you bet on Turk Metal Kirikkalespor?
๐ต Turk Metal Kirikkalespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $405.90
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$264.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $799.50
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$209.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Derince Spor A.S.?
๐ด Derince Spor A.S.: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$181.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Turk Metal Kirikkalespor x Derince Spor A.S.
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
