📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for US Orleans U19 x PSG U19
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Analysis from US Orleans U19 x PSG U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January
🏟️ US Orleans U19 X PSG U19 – France U19 League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Orleans U19 x PSG U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for US Orleans U19 x PSG U19
Is it a good idea to bet on US Orleans U19?
🔵 US Orleans U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $412.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $648.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$112.00.
Should you bet on PSG U19?
🔴 PSG U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $445.30;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match US Orleans U19 x PSG U19
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 US Orleans U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Orleans U19 x PSG U19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 US Orleans U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 US Orleans U19.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 US Orleans U19.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Orleans U19 x PSG U19
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves