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22/1/2022 15:00 |
 Welling4.60 |
X 3.90 |
Oxford City  1.58 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Welling x Oxford City:
๐ฎ Oxford City wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Oxford City, you can win up to $790.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Welling x Oxford City
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Welling x Oxford City?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Welling x Oxford City:
Analysis from Welling x Oxford City for the England National League South – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Welling X Oxford City – England National League South |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Welling x Oxford City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Welling x Oxford City
Is it worth betting on Welling?
๐ต Welling: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$494.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $464.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$376.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Oxford City?
๐ด Oxford City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – profiting $423.40;
- And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$153.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Welling x Oxford City
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Welling
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Welling x Oxford City
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Welling, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Welling.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Welling.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Welling x Oxford City
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
