📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Young Boys x Grasshoppers
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Analysis from Young Boys x Grasshoppers for the Europe Friendlies – 15 of January
🏟️ Young Boys X Grasshoppers – Europe Friendlies
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Young Boys and Grasshoppers.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Young Boys x Grasshoppers
Is betting on Young Boys worth it?
🔵 Young Boys: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $596.60;
- And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$356.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $290.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$610.00.
Should you bet on Grasshoppers?
🔴 Grasshoppers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $396.90;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$463.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Young Boys x Grasshoppers
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Young Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Young Boys x Grasshoppers
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Young Boys, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Young Boys.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Young Boys.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Young Boys x Grasshoppers
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves