📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Boavista x Gil Vicente
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Analysis from Boavista x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of January
🏟️ Boavista X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boavista and Gil Vicente.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Boavista x Gil Vicente
Should you bet on Boavista?
🔵 Boavista: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $554.20;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$105.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Gil Vicente?
🔴 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista x Gil Vicente
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boavista x Gil Vicente
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Boavista and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Boavista.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Gil Vicente.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista x Gil Vicente
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves