Botafogo SP x Londrina Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
π
25/11/2023 20:00 |
Botafogo SP 1.84 |
X 3.25 |
Londrina 4.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x Londrina:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Botafogo SP x Londrina
The main points for the tip for Botafogo SP x Londrina: π If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0. |
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Botafogo SP x Londrina
Looking for another bookie to bet on Botafogo SP x Londrina?
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Analysis from Botafogo SP x Londrina for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November
ποΈ Botafogo SP X Londrina – Brazil Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo SP x Londrina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo SP x Londrina
Is it worth betting on Botafogo SP?
π΅ Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $495.60;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$85.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$187.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Londrina?
π΄ Londrina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$312.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Londrina
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Botafogo SP
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Londrina
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Londrina
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.