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Home ยป Predictions ยป Feyenoord x Excelsior Betting tips for May 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 19 May 2024, 12h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Feyenoord Feyenoord
PREDICTION Feyenoord wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Excelsior Excelsior
ODD: @1.13 Don't miss this prediction!

Feyenoord x Excelsior Betting tips for May 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Feyenoord x Excelsior, Sunday, 19/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/5/2024
12:30
Feyenoord Feyenoord
1.13
X
9.00
Excelsior Excelsior
10.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Feyenoord x Excelsior:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Feyenoord wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Feyenoord, you can win up to $565.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Feyenoord x Excelsior:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Excelsior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Feyenoord did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Feyenoord scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Excelsior, Feyenoord scored at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Excelsior matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Feyenoord x Excelsior, with Feyenoord as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Excelsior conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Feyenoord is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Feyenoord has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Excelsior.

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Summary

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Analysis from Feyenoord x Excelsior for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Feyenoord X Excelsior – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 19 of May, 2024 – 12:30
๐Ÿ”ต Feyenoord – Winning probability: 99.60% | Fair line: 1.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.33% | Fair line: 300.09
๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior – Winning probability: 0.07% | Fair line: 1405.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Feyenoord
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Feyenoord x Excelsior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1120517 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Feyenoord x Excelsior

Should you bet on Feyenoord?

๐Ÿ”ต Feyenoord: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $130.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$130.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Excelsior?

๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Feyenoord x Excelsior

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Feyenoord
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Feyenoord x Excelsior

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Feyenoord and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Feyenoord.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Excelsior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Feyenoord x Excelsior

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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