Burnley x Nottm Forest Betting tips for May 19 in England Premier League
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19/5/2024 15:00 |
Burnley 2.79 |
X 3.45 |
Nottm Forest 2.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Burnley x Nottm Forest:
๐ฎ Burnley wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $1395.00!
Some important points for the tip for Burnley x Nottm Forest: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. |
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Analysis from Burnley x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 19 of May
๐๏ธ Burnley X Nottm Forest – England Premier League |
When the best bet on Burnley x Nottm Forest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1120517 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Burnley x Nottm Forest
Is it a good idea to bet on Burnley?
๐ต Burnley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $1091.90;
- And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$701.90.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $367.50
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$482.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Nottm Forest?
๐ด Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $312.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$448.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Burnley x Nottm Forest
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Burnley
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burnley x Nottm Forest
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Burnley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Burnley.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Burnley.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burnley x Nottm Forest
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.