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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for August 10 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Saturday, 10 August 2024, 23h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
PREDICTION No tip
Tlaxcala FC Tlaxcala FC
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Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for August 10 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC, Saturday, 10/8/2024
πŸ“… 10/8/2024
23:00
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
2.23
X
3.10
Tlaxcala FC Tlaxcala FC
2.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC

Some important points for the tip for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tlaxcala FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Tlaxcala FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC, with Tepatitlan FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Tlaxcala FC has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Tepatitlan FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Tlaxcala FC playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC:

Analysis from Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 10 of August

🏟️ Tepatitlan FC X Tlaxcala FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
πŸ“… 10 of August, 2024 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Tepatitlan FC – Winning probability: 39.69% | Fair line: 2.52
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.74% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ Tlaxcala FC – Winning probability: 29.57% | Fair line: 3.38
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1158783 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC

Is betting on Tepatitlan FC worth it?

πŸ”΅ Tepatitlan FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $492.00
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$108.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$39.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Tlaxcala FC?

πŸ”΄ Tlaxcala FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$106.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tepatitlan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tepatitlan FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tlaxcala FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tepatitlan FC x Tlaxcala FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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