Argentina x Chile Betting tips for September 5 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Argentina x Chile, Thursday, 5/9/2024

📅 5/9/2024 21:00

Argentina 1.40

X 4.44

Chile 8.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Argentina x Chile:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $2220.00!

🔮 Chile wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chile, you can win up to $4200.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Argentina x Chile: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Argentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Chile, Argentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Argentina matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Argentina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Chile. 👉 Argentina has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Chile playing at home.

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Analysis from Argentina x Chile for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 5 of September

When the best bet on Argentina x Chile is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1174190 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentina x Chile

Should you bet on Argentina?

🔵 Argentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $92.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$678.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $1582.40
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$1042.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chile?

🔴 Chile: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $2294.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$1604.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Argentina x Chile

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Argentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentina x Chile

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Argentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Argentina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Argentina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentina x Chile

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.