Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich Betting tips for September 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
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14/9/2024 13:30 |
 Holstein Kiel8.80 |
X 6.00 |
Bayern Munich  1.29 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich:
๐ฎ Bayern Munich wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $645.00!
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Important information for your tip for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. |
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Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of September
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๐๏ธ Holstein Kiel X Bayern Munich – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1179779 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich
Is it a good idea to bet on Holstein Kiel?
๐ต Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $78.00
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$912.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $150.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$820.00.
Should you bet on Bayern Munich?
๐ด Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 960 times – profiting $278.40;
- And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$238.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Holstein Kiel
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Holstein Kiel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Holstein Kiel.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 Holstein Kiel.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Bayern Munich
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
