Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker Betting tips for September 14 in Kenya Premier League
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14/9/2024 10:00 |
 Kariobangi Sharks3.82 |
X 3.08 |
Tusker  1.92 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker:
๐ฎ Tusker wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tusker, you can win up to $960.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker: ๐ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kariobangi Sharks scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 14 of September
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๐๏ธ Kariobangi Sharks X Tusker – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1179779 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker
Is it worth betting on Kariobangi Sharks?
๐ต Kariobangi Sharks: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $451.20;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$388.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $540.80;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$199.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tusker?
๐ด Tusker: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $542.80;
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$132.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kariobangi Sharks
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Kariobangi Sharks and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Kariobangi Sharks.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kariobangi Sharks x Tusker
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
