Rennes x Montpellier Betting tips for September 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Rennes x Montpellier, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 10:00

Rennes 1.58

X 4.05

Montpellier 5.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rennes x Montpellier:

🔮 Rennes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rennes, you can win up to $790.00!

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The main points for the tip for Rennes x Montpellier: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $487.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Rennes did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Montpellier, Rennes scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Montpellier matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Rennes is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Rennes has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Montpellier. 👉 It is not a good time for Montpellier as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rennes x Montpellier?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Rennes x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rennes x Montpellier right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180290 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rennes x Montpellier

Should you bet on Rennes?

🔵 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $464.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$264.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $366.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$514.00.

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔴 Montpellier: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $340.80;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$579.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x Montpellier

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x Montpellier

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Rennes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Rennes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x Montpellier

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.