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Home Β» Predictions Β» English Premier League Β» Wolverhampton x Newcastle Betting tips for September 15 in England Premier League
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 12h30 England Premier League
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
PREDICTION No tip
Newcastle Newcastle
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Wolverhampton x Newcastle Betting tips for September 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Wolverhampton x Newcastle, Sunday, 15/9/2024
πŸ“… 15/9/2024
12:30
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
3.35
X
3.70
Newcastle Newcastle
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wolverhampton x Newcastle:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Wolverhampton x Newcastle

Important information for your tip for Wolverhampton x Newcastle:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $265.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-163.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Newcastle, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Newcastle matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Newcastle.
πŸ‘‰ Wolverhampton has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Newcastle playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wolverhampton x Newcastle?

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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 15 of September

🏟️ Wolverhampton X Newcastle – England Premier League
πŸ“… 15 of September, 2024 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 29.04% | Fair line: 3.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.18% | Fair line: 4.31
πŸ”΄ Newcastle – Winning probability: 47.78% | Fair line: 2.09
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wolverhampton and Newcastle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolverhampton x Newcastle

Is it worth betting on Wolverhampton?

πŸ”΅ Wolverhampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $681.50
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$28.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $621.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$149.00.

Is it worth betting on Newcastle?

πŸ”΄ Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$64.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Newcastle

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Newcastle

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Wolverhampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Wolverhampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolverhampton x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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