Mainz x Werder Bremen Betting tips for September 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Werder Bremen, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 12:30

Mainz 2.02

X 3.60

Werder Bremen 3.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mainz x Werder Bremen:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1010.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mainz x Werder Bremen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-176.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Werder Bremen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Werder Bremen.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mainz x Werder Bremen?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mainz x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mainz x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1180290 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x Werder Bremen

Should you bet on Mainz?

🔵 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $571.20;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Should you bet on Werder Bremen?

🔴 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Werder Bremen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mainz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.