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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 18h30 Brazil Serie A
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
PREDICTION Cruzeiro wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
ODD: @2.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo, Sunday, 15/9/2024
📅 15/9/2024
18:30
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.08
X
3.10
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
3.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1040.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo, with Cruzeiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 15 of September

🏟️ Cruzeiro X Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A
📅 15 of September, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 57.69% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.29% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 11.02% | Fair line: 9.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo

Is it a good idea to bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $626.40;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$206.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?

🔴 Sao Paulo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $288.20;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$601.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cruzeiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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