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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 18h30 Brazil Serie A
EC Bahia EC Bahia
PREDICTION EC Bahia wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro, Sunday, 15/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 15/9/2024
18:30
EC Bahia EC Bahia
2.14
X
3.31
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
3.31

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro:

๐Ÿ”ฎ EC Bahia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $1070.00!

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Important information for your tip for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Mineiro, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 EC Bahia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro, with EC Bahia as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, EC Bahia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico Mineiro.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Atletico Mineiro has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Serie A – 15 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ EC Bahia X Atletico Mineiro – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 15 of September, 2024 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต EC Bahia – Winning probability: 63.39% | Fair line: 1.58
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.30% | Fair line: 4.93
๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 16.31% | Fair line: 6.13
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro

Is it worth betting on EC Bahia?

๐Ÿ”ต EC Bahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $718.20
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$348.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$338.00.

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Mineiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $369.60;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$470.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Bahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Bahia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Atletico Mineiro

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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