Young Boys x Aston Villa Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League
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17/9/2024 13:45 |
 Young Boys4.74 |
X 4.00 |
Aston Villa  1.67 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Young Boys x Aston Villa:
๐ฎ Aston Villa wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $835.00!
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Important information for your tip for Young Boys x Aston Villa: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Young Boys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Young Boys x Aston Villa?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Young Boys x Aston Villa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Young Boys x Aston Villa for the UEFA Champions League – 17 of September
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๐๏ธ Young Boys X Aston Villa – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Young Boys x Aston Villa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1182317 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Young Boys x Aston Villa
Should you bet on Young Boys?
๐ต Young Boys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $822.80
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐ฐ$42.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $330.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$560.00.
Should you bet on Aston Villa?
๐ด Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $448.90
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$118.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Young Boys x Aston Villa
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Young Boys
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Young Boys x Aston Villa
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Young Boys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Young Boys.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Young Boys.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Young Boys x Aston Villa
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
