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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป AC Milan x Liverpool Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
AC Milan AC Milan
PREDICTION Liverpool Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Liverpool Liverpool
ODD: @2.02 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Milan x Liverpool Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Liverpool, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/9/2024
16:00
AC Milan AC Milan
3.36
X
3.60
Liverpool Liverpool
2.02

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Milan x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Liverpool wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $1010.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AC Milan x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-222.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $131.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Liverpool did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, AC Milan scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 AC Milan matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan x Liverpool?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan x Liverpool, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AC Milan x Liverpool for the UEFA Champions League – 17 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AC Milan X Liverpool – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 17 of September, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan – Winning probability: 22.44% | Fair line: 4.46
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.50% | Fair line: 7.41
๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool – Winning probability: 64.06% | Fair line: 1.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Milan and Liverpool.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1182317 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Milan x Liverpool

Should you bet on AC Milan?

๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $519.20
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$260.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $652.80;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$292.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Liverpool

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Liverpool

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 AC Milan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 AC Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Liverpool

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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