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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid Real Madrid
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart Wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @9.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/9/2024
16:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1.29
X
5.80
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
9.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ”ฎ VfB Stuttgart wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $4625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $109.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Real Madrid did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart for the UEFA Champions League – 17 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Real Madrid X VfB Stuttgart – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 17 of September, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Real Madrid – Winning probability: 74.31% | Fair line: 1.35
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.04% | Fair line: 12.44
๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 17.65% | Fair line: 5.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1182317 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart

Should you bet on Real Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ต Real Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $214.60;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$45.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $384.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$536.00.

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $1485.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$665.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Real Madrid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x VfB Stuttgart

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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