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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for September 17 in Colombia Cup
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 21h00 Colombia Cup
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION Deportes Tolima wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for September 17 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/9/2024
21:00
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.68
X
3.22
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
5.39

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportes Tolima wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $840.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Deportivo Pasto did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Deportivo Pasto matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Deportes Tolima conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportivo Pasto.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Deportivo Pasto has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Cup – 17 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportes Tolima X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 17 of September, 2024 – 21:00
๐Ÿ”ต Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 70.95% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.90% | Fair line: 5.92
๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 12.15% | Fair line: 8.23
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1182317 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto

Should you bet on Deportes Tolima?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportes Tolima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $482.80
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$192.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $377.40;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$452.60.

Should you bet on Deportivo Pasto?

๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Pasto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $526.80
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$353.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportes Tolima.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Pasto

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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