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Home » Predictions » Others » Avai x Ituano Betting tips for September 17 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
Avai Avai
PREDICTION Avai wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Ituano Ituano
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Avai x Ituano Betting tips for September 17 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Avai x Ituano, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
📅 17/9/2024
21:30
Avai Avai
1.66
X
3.32
Ituano Ituano
5.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Avai x Ituano:

🔮 Avai wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avai, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Avai x Ituano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-99.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0.
👉 In the last 7 Avai matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ituano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Avai x Ituano?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Avai x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 17 of September

🏟️ Avai X Ituano – Brazil Serie B
📅 17 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Avai – Winning probability: 65.17% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.47% | Fair line: 4.09
🔴 Ituano – Winning probability: 10.36% | Fair line: 9.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Avai x Ituano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1182317 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Avai x Ituano

Is betting on Avai worth it?

🔵 Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $429.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$79.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$203.20.

Is betting on Ituano worth it?

🔴 Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Avai x Ituano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avai x Ituano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Avai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Avai.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avai x Ituano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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