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Home ยป Predictions ยป Copa Sulamericana ยป Fortaleza x Corinthians Betting tips for September 17 in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Sudamericana
Fortaleza Fortaleza
PREDICTION Fortaleza wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Corinthians Corinthians
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza x Corinthians Betting tips for September 17 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Corinthians, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/9/2024
21:30
Fortaleza Fortaleza
1.85
X
3.30
Corinthians Corinthians
4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Corinthians:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fortaleza wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Fortaleza x Corinthians:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Corinthians, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Fortaleza is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Fortaleza has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Corinthians.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Corinthians as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortaleza x Corinthians?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortaleza x Corinthians, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fortaleza x Corinthians for the Copa Sudamericana – 17 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Fortaleza X Corinthians – Copa Sudamericana
๐Ÿ“… 17 of September, 2024 – 21:30
๐Ÿ”ต Fortaleza – Winning probability: 61.68% | Fair line: 1.62
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.07% | Fair line: 5.24
๐Ÿ”ด Corinthians – Winning probability: 19.25% | Fair line: 5.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza and Corinthians.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1182317 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

Is it worth betting on Fortaleza?

๐Ÿ”ต Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $527.00;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$147.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$373.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Corinthians?

๐Ÿ”ด Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $632.70
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$177.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Corinthians

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Fortaleza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Fortaleza.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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