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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 13h45 UEFA Champions League
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
13:45
Bologna Bologna
1.85
X
3.60
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-134.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Shakhtar Donetsk scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Shakhtar Donetsk matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Bologna did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk for the UEFA Champions League – 18 of September

🏟️ Bologna X Shakhtar Donetsk – UEFA Champions League
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 13:45
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 67.53% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.21% | Fair line: 7.04
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1183677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $578.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Is betting on Shakhtar Donetsk worth it?

🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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