PSG x Girona Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for PSG x Girona, Wednesday, 18/9/2024

📅 18/9/2024 16:00

PSG 1.50

X 4.37

Girona 6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Girona:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for PSG x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 PSG matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 6 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession.

Looking for another bookie to bet on PSG x Girona?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on PSG x Girona:

Analysis from PSG x Girona for the UEFA Champions League – 18 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSG and Girona.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1183677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Girona

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔵 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 840 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $168.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$781.50.

Is betting on Girona worth it?

🔴 Girona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Girona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Girona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 PSG. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Girona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.