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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca Betting tips for September 18 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 21h30 Costa Rica Primera Division
Puntarenas Puntarenas
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca Betting tips for September 18 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/9/2024
21:30
Puntarenas Puntarenas
2.20
X
3.15
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against AD Guanacasteca, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca, with Puntarenas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AD Guanacasteca.

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Summary

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Analysis from Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 18 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Puntarenas X AD Guanacasteca – Costa Rica Primera Division
๐Ÿ“… 18 of September, 2024 – 21:30
๐Ÿ”ต Puntarenas – Winning probability: 42.36% | Fair line: 2.36
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.81% | Fair line: 2.96
๐Ÿ”ด AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 23.83% | Fair line: 4.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Puntarenas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Puntarenas and AD Guanacasteca.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184048 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca

Is betting on Puntarenas worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Puntarenas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $731.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$71.00.

Is it worth betting on AD Guanacasteca?

๐Ÿ”ด AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$304.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Puntarenas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Puntarenas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Puntarenas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AD Guanacasteca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puntarenas x AD Guanacasteca

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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