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Home » Predictions » Others » Coritiba x Ceara Betting tips for September 18 in Brazil Serie B
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
Coritiba Coritiba
PREDICTION Coritiba wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Ceara Ceara
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Coritiba x Ceara Betting tips for September 18 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Coritiba x Ceara, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
21:30
Coritiba Coritiba
2.20
X
2.97
Ceara Ceara
3.51

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Coritiba x Ceara:

🔮 Coritiba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Coritiba, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Coritiba x Ceara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Coritiba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-153.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Coritiba scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Coritiba x Ceara for the Brazil Serie B – 18 of September

🏟️ Coritiba X Ceara – Brazil Serie B
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Coritiba – Winning probability: 49.62% | Fair line: 2.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.85% | Fair line: 3.59
🔴 Ceara – Winning probability: 22.53% | Fair line: 4.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Coritiba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Coritiba x Ceara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184048 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Coritiba x Ceara

Is it a good idea to bet on Coritiba?

🔵 Coritiba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $551.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$168.40.

Is betting on Ceara worth it?

🔴 Ceara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $577.30;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$192.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Coritiba x Ceara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Coritiba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coritiba x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Coritiba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Coritiba.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coritiba x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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