Lanus x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for September 18 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 18/9/2024 21:30 |
 Lanus1.75 |
X 3.36 |
Independiente Medellin  4.57 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Independiente Medellin:
🔮 Lanus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $875.00!
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Important information for your tip for Lanus x Independiente Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. |
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Analysis from Lanus x Independiente Medellin for the Copa Sudamericana – 18 of September
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🏟️ Lanus X Independiente Medellin – Copa Sudamericana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lanus x Independiente Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184048 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin
Should you bet on Lanus?
🔵 Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $495.60;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$294.40.
Is betting on Independiente Medellin worth it?
🔴 Independiente Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $392.70;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$497.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Independiente Medellin
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lanus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lanus.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Independiente Medellin.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
