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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas Betting tips for September 18 in USA MLS
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 22h30 USA MLS
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
PREDICTION FC Dallas Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
ODD: @4.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas Betting tips for September 18 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
22:30
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
1.72
X
3.93
FC Dallas FC Dallas
4.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas:

🔮 FC Dallas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Dallas, you can win up to $2150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Salt Lake in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Dallas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Real Salt Lake conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Dallas.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas for the USA MLS – 18 of September

🏟️ Real Salt Lake X FC Dallas – USA MLS
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Real Salt Lake – Winning probability: 6.16% | Fair line: 16.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.93% | Fair line: 6.7
🔴 FC Dallas – Winning probability: 78.90% | Fair line: 1.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Salt Lake
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184048 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas

Should you bet on Real Salt Lake?

🔵 Real Salt Lake: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $43.20
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$896.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $439.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$410.50.

Is betting on FC Dallas worth it?

🔴 FC Dallas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $2607.00
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$2397.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Salt Lake
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Real Salt Lake and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Salt Lake.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FC Dallas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Salt Lake x FC Dallas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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