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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes Betting tips for September 18 in USA MLS
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 23h30 USA MLS
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
PREDICTION San Jose Earthquakes Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
ODD: @6.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes Betting tips for September 18 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
23:30
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
1.40
X
4.96
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
6.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes:

🔮 San Jose Earthquakes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Jose Earthquakes, you can win up to $3250.00!

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Important information for your tip for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Seattle Sounders in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Jose Earthquakes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Seattle Sounders conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against San Jose Earthquakes.

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Summary

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Analysis from Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes for the USA MLS – 18 of September

🏟️ Seattle Sounders X San Jose Earthquakes – USA MLS
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Seattle Sounders – Winning probability: 17.47% | Fair line: 5.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.70% | Fair line: 6.8
🔴 San Jose Earthquakes – Winning probability: 67.83% | Fair line: 1.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Seattle Sounders
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184048 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes

Is betting on Seattle Sounders worth it?

🔵 Seattle Sounders: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $68.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$762.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on San Jose Earthquakes?

🔴 San Jose Earthquakes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $3740.00;
  • And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$3420.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Seattle Sounders
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Seattle Sounders and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Seattle Sounders.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Seattle Sounders.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Seattle Sounders x San Jose Earthquakes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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