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Home » Predictions » Others » Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz Betting tips for September 18 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 22h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
PREDICTION Mineros de Zacatecas wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Club Atletico La Paz Club Atletico La Paz
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz Betting tips for September 18 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
22:00
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
1.48
X
4.28
Club Atletico La Paz Club Atletico La Paz
5.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz:

🔮 Mineros de Zacatecas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mineros de Zacatecas, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico La Paz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mineros de Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club Atletico La Paz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Mineros de Zacatecas is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Club Atletico La Paz as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz:

Analysis from Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 18 of September

🏟️ Mineros de Zacatecas X Club Atletico La Paz – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Mineros de Zacatecas – Winning probability: 81.47% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.20% | Fair line: 8.2
🔴 Club Atletico La Paz – Winning probability: 6.33% | Fair line: 15.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184048 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz

Is betting on Mineros de Zacatecas worth it?

🔵 Mineros de Zacatecas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $388.80;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$198.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $393.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$486.40.

Should you bet on Club Atletico La Paz?

🔴 Club Atletico La Paz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $256.80
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$683.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Club Atletico La Paz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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