Moca FC x Ouanaminthe Betting tips for September 18 in CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
| 📅 18/9/2024 21:00 |
 Moca FC1.62 |
X 3.70 |
Ouanaminthe  4.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe:
🔮 Moca FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moca FC, you can win up to $810.00!
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Important information for your tip for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moca FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-159.0. |
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Analysis from Moca FC x Ouanaminthe for the CONCACAF Caribbean Cup – 18 of September
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🏟️ Moca FC X Ouanaminthe – CONCACAF Caribbean Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184048 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe
Should you bet on Moca FC?
🔵 Moca FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $446.40;
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$166.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $351.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$519.00.
Should you bet on Ouanaminthe?
🔴 Ouanaminthe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moca FC x Ouanaminthe
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Moca FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Moca FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Moca FC.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moca FC x Ouanaminthe
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
