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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Crvena Zvezda x Benfica Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League
Thursday, 19 September 2024, 13h45 UEFA Champions League
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
PREDICTION Crvena Zvezda wins Probability 29% 1 X 2
Benfica Benfica
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Crvena Zvezda x Benfica Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica, Thursday, 19/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/9/2024
13:45
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
3.50
X
3.60
Benfica Benfica
2.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Crvena Zvezda wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crvena Zvezda, you can win up to $1750.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Benfica wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Crvena Zvezda scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Benfica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Benfica conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crvena Zvezda is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Crvena Zvezda x Benfica?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crvena Zvezda x Benfica, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crvena Zvezda x Benfica for the UEFA Champions League – 19 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Crvena Zvezda X Benfica – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 19 of September, 2024 – 13:45
๐Ÿ”ต Crvena Zvezda – Winning probability: 29.94% | Fair line: 3.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.50% | Fair line: 7.41
๐Ÿ”ด Benfica – Winning probability: 56.56% | Fair line: 1.77
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crvena Zvezda
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Crvena Zvezda x Benfica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184054 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica

Is betting on Crvena Zvezda worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Crvena Zvezda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $750.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$50.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

Is betting on Benfica worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Crvena Zvezda x Benfica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crvena Zvezda
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Crvena Zvezda and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Crvena Zvezda.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Crvena Zvezda.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crvena Zvezda x Benfica

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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