Monaco x Barcelona Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Monaco x Barcelona, Thursday, 19/9/2024

📅 19/9/2024 16:00

Monaco 4.22

X 3.80

Barcelona 1.79

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Barcelona:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $895.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Monaco x Barcelona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-356.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $325.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Barcelona scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Barcelona matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Barcelona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Barcelona is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x Barcelona?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Monaco x Barcelona for the UEFA Champions League – 19 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monaco x Barcelona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184054 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Barcelona

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $450.80;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$409.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $112.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$848.00.

Should you bet on Barcelona?

🔴 Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $647.80;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$467.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Barcelona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Barcelona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Monaco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Barcelona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Barcelona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.