Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League
Thursday, 19 September 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION RB Leipzig Wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
ODD: @4.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig, Thursday, 19/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/9/2024
16:00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.75
X
3.80
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
4.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig:

๐Ÿ”ฎ RB Leipzig wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $2165.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Madrid did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 RB Leipzig matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig for the UEFA Champions League – 19 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Madrid X RB Leipzig – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 19 of September, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 52.53% | Fair line: 1.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.48% | Fair line: 8.71
๐Ÿ”ด RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 35.99% | Fair line: 2.78
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184054 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig

Is betting on Atletico Madrid worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $397.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$72.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $308.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$582.00.

Should you bet on RB Leipzig?

๐Ÿ”ด RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $1198.80;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$558.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Madrid.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x RB Leipzig

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteรบdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters