PEC Zwolle x AZ Betting tips for September 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x AZ, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 15:00

PEC Zwolle 6.75

X 4.70

AZ 1.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PEC Zwolle x AZ:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $715.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for PEC Zwolle x AZ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $179.0. 👉 AZ did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 PEC Zwolle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against AZ. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, AZ has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from PEC Zwolle x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PEC Zwolle and AZ.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

Is it a good idea to bet on PEC Zwolle?

🔵 PEC Zwolle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $287.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$662.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $407.00
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$483.00.

Is betting on AZ worth it?

🔴 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $361.20
• And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$201.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x AZ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 PEC Zwolle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 PEC Zwolle.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.