Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira Betting tips for September 21 in Colombia Primera B
| 📅 21/9/2024 18:00 |
 Union Magdalena1.85 |
X 3.20 |
Internacional FC de Palmira  4.12 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira:
🔮 Union Magdalena wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Magdalena, you can win up to $925.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Magdalena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-53.0. |
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Analysis from Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira for the Colombia Primera B – 21 of September
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🏟️ Union Magdalena X Internacional FC de Palmira – Colombia Primera B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira
Is it a good idea to bet on Union Magdalena?
🔵 Union Magdalena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $510.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$110.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Internacional FC de Palmira?
🔴 Internacional FC de Palmira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $405.60;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Union Magdalena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Union Magdalena, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Union Magdalena.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Magdalena x Internacional FC de Palmira
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
