Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC Betting tips for September 20 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 20/9/2024 22:00 |
 Deportivo Pereira1.68 |
X 3.25 |
Patriotas FC  5.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC:
🔮 Deportivo Pereira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Pereira, you can win up to $840.00!
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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-126.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC for the Colombia Primera A – 20 of September
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🏟️ Deportivo Pereira X Patriotas FC – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184915 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC
Should you bet on Deportivo Pereira?
🔵 Deportivo Pereira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $387.60;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$42.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $697.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$7.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Patriotas FC?
🔴 Patriotas FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pereira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Deportivo Pereira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportivo Pereira.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Patriotas FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
