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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow Betting tips for September 21 in Russia Division 1
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 05h30 Russia Division 1
FK Tyumen FK Tyumen
PREDICTION No tip
Rodina Moscow Rodina Moscow
Don't miss this prediction!

FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow Betting tips for September 21 in Russia Division 1

Our betting tip for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow, Saturday, 21/9/2024
πŸ“… 21/9/2024
05:30
FK Tyumen FK Tyumen
2.90
X
3.17
Rodina Moscow Rodina Moscow
2.24

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow

Important information for your tip for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Tyumen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rodina Moscow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-263.0.
πŸ‘‰ FK Tyumen did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 FK Tyumen matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow for the Russia Division 1 – 21 of September

🏟️ FK Tyumen X Rodina Moscow – Russia Division 1
πŸ“… 21 of September, 2024 – 05:30
πŸ”΅ FK Tyumen – Winning probability: 24.56% | Fair line: 4.07
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.75% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ Rodina Moscow – Winning probability: 44.69% | Fair line: 2.24
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Tyumen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184915 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow

Is betting on FK Tyumen worth it?

πŸ”΅ FK Tyumen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$275.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $672.70;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$17.30.

Is betting on Rodina Moscow worth it?

πŸ”΄ Rodina Moscow: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $558.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Tyumen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FK Tyumen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FK Tyumen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Rodina Moscow.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Tyumen x Rodina Moscow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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